Publications & Research

The Boyd Center conducts research on behalf of multiple public entities to reveal key insights about the economy in Tennessee and across the nation, as well as the efficacy of public programs. Our research has appeared in publications such as The Economist, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Washington Post and The Tennessean.

Use the search field below to find Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research publications by title, author, or date of publication.

Tennessee's Manufacturing Sector Before and After the Great Recession

Authors: Matthew N. Murray, Vickie C. Cunningham

Publication Date: March 1, 2014

Tennessee, like the nation, is in the midst of a manufacturing renaissance. After years of trend decline and additional disruptions from the recession of 2001 and the Great Recession of 2007–2009, manufacturing employment has been on a rebound since 2011. Unfortunately, these employment gains are expected to be short lived. The long-range outlook for Tennessee projects employment in the state’s manufacturing sector will once again contract starting in 2018.

An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee, 2014

Authors: Matthew N. Murray, William F. Fox, Lawrence M. Kessler, Vickie C. Cunningham, Ahiteme N. Houndonougbo

Publication Date: January 31, 2014

This 2014 volume of An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee is the 38th in a series of annual reports compiled in response to requests by state government officials for assistance in achieving greater interdepartmental consistency in planning and budgeting efforts sensitive to the overall economic environment. Both short-term, or business cycle-sensitive forecasts, and longer-term, or trend forecasts, are provided in this report. Tennessee forecasts, current as of January 2014, are based on an array of assumptions, particularly at the national level, which are described in Chapter One. Chapter Two details evaluations for major sectors of the Tennessee economy, with an agriculture section provided by the University of Tennessee Agricultural Policy Analysis Center. Chapter Three discusses Tennessee’s role in the international economy and presents the long-run outlook and forecast for the state. Chapter Four presents manufacturing trends and advanced manufacturing in Tennessee. The primary purpose of this annual volume—published, distributed, and financed through the Tennessee Department of Finance and Administration, Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, the Tennessee Department of Revenue, the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development, and the Appalachian Regional Commission—is to provide wide public dissemination of the most-current possible economic analysis to planners and decision-makers in the public and private sectors.

Academic Program Supply and Occupational Demand Projections: 2012–2025

Authors: Leann Luna, Matthew N. Murray, Vickie C. Cunningham

Publication Date: January 1, 2014

The research presented here is an updated and revised analysis of Academic Program Supply and Occupational Demand Projections for the state of Tennessee that was initially released in 2010. The estimates were prepared by The University of Tennessee's Center for Business and Economic Research in cooperation with the Tennessee Higher Education Commission and the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development. The revised estimates use historical data from 2000-2011 and offer projections of academic awards for various instructional programs and disciplines for Tennessee's public, private for-profit and private non-profit postsecondary institutions through 2025.

Tennessee Business and Economic Outlook, Fall 2013

Authors: Matthew N. Murray

Publication Date: September 1, 2013

Total collections for Tennessee grew by 2.6 percent in fiscal year 2013, which is lower than both the regional average of 3.9 percent and the national average of 4.2 percent (Figure 9). In fiscal year 2014, total collections for Tennessee are projected to reach $12.3 billion, up 3.2 percent from fiscal year 2013. That is a higher growth rate than both the regional and the national average. The preparation of this report was financed in part by the following agencies: the Tennessee Department of Finance and Administration, the Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, the Tennessee Department of Revenue, the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development, and the Appalachian Regional Commission.

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