Publications & Research

The Boyd Center conducts research on behalf of multiple public entities to reveal key insights about the economy in Tennessee and across the nation, as well as the efficacy of public programs. Our research has appeared in publications such as The Economist, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Washington Post and The Tennessean.

Use the search field below to find Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research publications by title, author, or date of publication.

Economic Report To the Governor 2020

Authors: Matthew N. Murray, William F. Fox, Enda P. Hargaden, Matthew C. Harris, Lawrence M. Kessler, Vickie C. Cunningham, Alex S. Norwood, Adrienne M. Sudbury

Publication Date: January 2, 2020

This 2020 volume of An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee is the forty-fourth in a series of annual reports compiled in response to requests by state government officials for assistance in achieving greater interdepartmental consistency in planning and budgeting efforts sensitive to the overall economic environment. Both short-term, or business cycle-sensitive forecasts, and longer-term, or trend forecasts, are provided in this report.

An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee, 2019

Authors: Matthew N. Murray, William F. Fox, Donald J. Bruce, LeAnn Luna, Enda P. Hargaden, Lawrence M. Kessler, Vickie C. Cunningham

Publication Date: January 1, 2019

This 2019 volume of An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee is the 43rd in a series of annual reports compiled in response to requests by state government officials for assistance in achieving greater interdepartmental consistency in planning and budgeting efforts sensitive to the overall economic environment. Both short-term, or business cycle-sensitive forecasts, and longer-term, or trend forecasts, are provided in this report. Tennessee forecasts, current as of December 2018, are based on an array of assumptions, particularly at the national level, which are described in Chapter One. Chapter Two details evaluations for major sectors of the Tennessee economy, with an agriculture section provided by the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture. Chapter Three presents the long-run outlook and forecast for the state. Chapter Four discusses federal tax reform, tariffs and the implications for labor markets across the state of Tennessee. The primary purpose of this annual volume—published, distributed, and financed through the Tennessee Department of Finance and Administration, Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, the Tennessee Department of Revenue, and the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development—is to provide wide public dissemination of the most-current possible economic analysis to planners and decision-makers in the public and private sectors.

An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee, 2018

Authors: Matthew N. Murray, William F. Fox, Matthew Harris, Lawrence M. Kessler, Vickie C. Cunningham, Mary Elizabeth Glenn

Publication Date: January 1, 2018

This 2018 volume of An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee is the forty-second in a series of annual reports compiled in response to requests by state government officials for assistance in achieving greater interdepartmental consistency in planning and budgeting efforts sensitive to the overall economic environment. Both short-term, or business cycle-sensitive forecasts, and longer-term, or trend forecasts, are provided in this report. Tennessee forecasts, current as of December 2017, are based on an array of assumptions, particularly at the national level, which are described in Chapter One. Chapter Two details evaluations for major sectors of the Tennessee economy, with an agriculture section provided by the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture. Chapter Three presents the long-run outlook and forecast for the state. Chapter Four discusses the opioid epidemic and the implications it has for labor markets across the state of Tennessee. The primary purpose of this annual volume—published, distributed, and financed through the Tennessee Department of Finance and Administration, Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, the Tennessee Department of Revenue, and the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development—is to provide wide public dissemination of the most-current possible economic analysis to planners and decision-makers in the public and private sectors.

An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee, 2017

Authors: Matthew N. Murray, William F. Fox, Matthew C. Harris, Lawrence M. Kessler, Vickie C. Cunningham, Mary Elizabeth Glenn

Publication Date: January 1, 2017

This 2017 volume of An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee is the 41st in a series of annual reports compiled in response to requests by state government officials for assistance in achieving greater interdepartmental consistency in planning and budgeting efforts sensitive to the overall economic environment. Both short-term, or business cycle-sensitive forecasts, and longer-term, or trend forecasts, are provided in this report. Tennessee forecasts, current as of January 2017, are based on an array of assumptions, particularly at the national level, which are described in Chapter One. Chapter Two details evaluations for major sectors of the Tennessee economy, with an agriculture section provided by the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture. Chapter Three discusses presents the long-run outlook and forecast for the state. Chapter Four presents the effects of the expected coming increase in retirements in Tennessee, which is expected to increase between 80 and 100 percent over the next 15 years. The primary purpose of this annual volume—published, distributed, and financed through the Tennessee Department of Finance and Administration, Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, the Tennessee Department of Revenue, and the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development — is to provide wide public dissemination of the most-current possible economic analysis to planners and decision-makers in the public and private sectors.

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