The Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research created the Business Leaders Survey in August 2020. Responses are collected biannually from business leaders across the state to provide a unique perspective on Tennessee and the nation’s economy.

Responses from the most recent Tennessee Business Leaders Survey were provided in January and February 2026. Similar to last summer, four of five leaders believe there is less than a 50% chance that the U.S. will fall into a recession in the next year. About a quarter of employers who responded to the summer survey said tariffs have affected their business a lot, while almost 50% said they have felt a little effect from tariffs. Nearly half (46.1%) said they are passing on some or all of the tariff costs to customers. Almost two-thirds said they are using artificial intelligence in a way that does not affect their employment levels, while nearly a quarter said they are not using AI at all. Most respondents felt the Tennessee economic outlook was better than the U.S. We summarize key themes that emerge in our Winter 2026 report.