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Publications & Research

The Boyd Center conducts research on behalf of multiple public entities to reveal key insights about the economy in Tennessee and across the nation, as well as the efficacy of public programs. Our research has appeared in publications such as The Economist, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Washington Post and The Tennessean.

Use the search field below to find Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research publications by title, author, or date of publication.

An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee, 2018

Authors: Matthew N. Murray, William F. Fox, Matthew Harris, Lawrence M. Kessler, Vickie C. Cunningham, Mary Elizabeth Glenn

Publication Date: January 1, 2018

This 2018 volume of An Economic Report to the Governor of the State of Tennessee is the forty-second in a series of annual reports compiled in response to requests by state government officials for assistance in achieving greater interdepartmental consistency in planning and budgeting efforts sensitive to the overall economic environment. Both short-term, or business cycle-sensitive forecasts, and longer-term, or trend forecasts, are provided in this report. Tennessee forecasts, current as of December 2017, are based on an array of assumptions, particularly at the national level, which are described in Chapter One. Chapter Two details evaluations for major sectors of the Tennessee economy, with an agriculture section provided by the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture. Chapter Three presents the long-run outlook and forecast for the state. Chapter Four discusses the opioid epidemic and the implications it has for labor markets across the state of Tennessee. The primary purpose of this annual volume—published, distributed, and financed through the Tennessee Department of Finance and Administration, Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, the Tennessee Department of Revenue, and the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development—is to provide wide public dissemination of the most-current possible economic analysis to planners and decision-makers in the public and private sectors.

The Impact of TennCare: A Survey of Recipients, 2017

Authors: LeAnn Luna, Emily K. Pratt

Publication Date: December 1, 2017

The Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research at the University of Tennessee, under contract with the Department of Finance and Administration of the State of Tennessee, conducted a survey of Tennessee residents to ascertain their insurance status and use of medical facilities and their level of satisfaction with the TennCare program. A target sample size of 5,000 households allows us to obtain accurate estimates for subpopulations. The Boyd Center prepared the survey instrument in cooperation with personnel from the Division of TennCare.

Inability to Collect Sales Tax on Remote Sales Still Harms the Economy

Authors: Wiliam Fox

Publication Date: November 6, 2017

Nashville and Middle Tennessee County Transportation Revenue Forecasts, August 2017

Authors: William F. Fox, Lawrence M. Kessler, Tammy S. Lemon, LeAnn Luna, Alex S. Norwood

Publication Date: August 22, 2017

The Nashville area seeks to undertake major transportation improvements given the region’s rapid economic growth, significantly increasing congestion, and the expectation that enhanced transportation services would spur even greater growth. This report focuses on one aspect of this challenging issue – how financing could be generated – by developing the capacity to forecast revenue for Nashville area counties. The revenues potentially could be used to finance major transportation improvements. The report concentrates on four major tax instruments: sales tax, property tax, hotel/motel tax, and wheel tax. The revenue estimating capacity is developed for 10 counties: Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Maury, Montgomery, Robertson, Rutherford, Sumner, Williamson, and Wilson counties.

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